☭ marselip0910 叶俊华™

請守護孩子 你就是台灣的守護者

他是你的孩子
他們青春 自信 帥氣 漂亮
有時充滿正義感
有時完全進入自己的世界


請守護孩子，你就是台灣的守護者

廿多歲了
已經多久 你不曾和他促膝長談
告訴他這廿多年來的種種改變

他三歲的時候
蔣總統逝世 全國守喪一個月
他五歲前
有上千條歌曲被禁唱
他四歲時
人民還在高喊總統民選
六歲時
還有人遭遇滅門血案 政治屠殺
他七歲時
還有人自焚 爭取言論自由
他十二歲前
警察還可以毆打遊行民眾

這些歷史都過去了
但真的 他們並不很遙遠

你的孩子必須知道
沒有憲兵可以檢查他iPod裡的歌曲
當年反對總統民選的人
現在也參選總統了
吶喊總統下台可以不用坐牢

這些都不是天經地義
這是我們用血淚換來的自由

請和你的孩子促膝長談

告訴他
在他身上的這一切
是多麼珍貴
請守護孩子 你就是台灣的守護者


****************
台灣維新.幸福一定保系列（電梯篇）
電梯男：「謝長廷.我買不起房子」
[o.s.請錄影]
謝長廷：『我保證興建大量的青年住宅，出租給年輕人，前兩年租金打六折，第三年第四年，租金打八折，如果你要購買自己的房子，還有低利跟無息貸款，讓年輕人擁有自己房子的幸福感』
電梯男：「那我跟我女朋友兩個人住.可以連打兩個六折嗎」
謝長廷：『哦.你很會講生意.這樣會賺錢.情人節快樂』
[o.s.以上政見若未兌現.請將影片寄自:台北市重慶南路122號.總統府.謝長廷.蘇貞昌.收]

****************
台灣維新.幸福一定保系列（候診室篇.孕婦篇）
孕婦：「謝長廷.我不知道要不要把小孩生下來」
[o.s.請錄影]
謝長廷：『你一定要把他生下來.我保證每個月補助保姆費三千塊.我保證中低收入戶的幼兒園學費.完全免費.我也保證提供最優惠的作月子貸款)
孕婦：「所以.你會負責」
謝長廷：『政見我負責.感情..他…要負責』。
[o.s.以上政見若未兌現.請將影片寄自:台北市重慶南路122號.總統府.謝長廷.蘇貞昌.收]

****************
台灣維新.幸福一定保（便利商店篇）
學生妹：「謝長廷，我繳不起學費」
謝長廷：『我保證未來高中職學費免費，助學貸款免利息，還款還可以協商，大學畢業以後，遊學還有補助，讓年輕人負擔更輕鬆』。
學生妹：「這裡有錄影存證哦」
謝長廷：『你放心，其他的我來拼，但是，考試你要自己拼』。
（orz !! 三條線!!）

****************
台灣維新.幸福一定保（加油站篇）
西裝男「謝長廷，油價真的很貴！」
謝長廷：「我保證未來停徵收汽車燃料稅，也保證降低綜合所得稅，營利事業所得稅，讓大家生活更輕鬆，生意更好賺錢」。
西裝男「按尼，汝愛加油哦！」
謝長廷：「我今嘛著是咧加油阿」。





Taiwan By The Numbers (03/10/2008)

(TVBS) (917 persons age 20 or over interviewed by telephone on March 9, 2008)
Q1. The presidential election occurs on March 8. The DPP is represented by the team of Hsieh and Su, while the KMT is represented by Ma and Siew. If the voting were tomorrow, which team are you more likely to vote for?
31%: Hsieh-Su
50%: Ma-Siew
19%: Undecided

Q2. Did you watch today's televised debate between the presidential candidate?
35%: Yes
65%: No

Q3. Which person performed better during the televised debate this afternoon? (Base: Those who watched the televised debate)
28%: Frank Hsieh
42%: Ma Ying-jeou
30%: No opinion

Q4. During the televised debate this afternoon, whose policies do you believe meets your needs better? (Base: Those who watched the televised debate)
28%: Frank Hsieh
44%: Ma Ying-jeou
28%: No opinion

(UDN) (937 adults interviewed by telephone on March 9)

Q1. Did you watch the televised debate between Frank Hsieh and Ma Ying-jeou this afternoon?
40%: Yes
60%: No

Q2. Who do you think performed better? (Base: Those who watched the televised debate)
46%: Ma Ying-jeou
28%: Frank Hsieh
10%: Tie
16%: No opinion

Q3. Which team do you support in the presidential election?
52%: Ma-Siew
22%: Hsieh-Su
26%: Undecided

(China Times) (1,119 adults interviewed by telephone on March 9, 2008)

Q1. Did you watch the televised debate between Frank Hsieh and Ma Ying-jeou this afternoon?
34%: Yes
66%: No

Q2. Who do you think performed better? (Base: Those who watched the televised debate)
43%: Ma Ying-jeou
27%: Frank Hsieh

Q3. Which team do you su pport in the presidential election?
49%: Ma-Siew
22%: Hsieh-Su
29%: Undecided

Q4. Did watching this televised debate changed your mind about who you support? (Base: Those who watched the televised debate)
4%: Yes
86%: No

(Apple Daily) (1,052 persons interviewed by telephone on March 5-7) Apple Daily commissioned the National Sun Yat-sen University School of Social Science Public Opinion Research Centre to conduct a poll on March 5-7. On the direct question of likelihood to vote, 41.3% stated that they will vote for Ma Ying-jeou, 19.8% stated that they will vote for Frank Hsieh and 38.9% are undecided. The respondents were then asked about six issues: ability to govern, re-vitalization of the economy, degree of non-corruption, level of direct support, the Cross-Strait Common Market and the referenda.

On re-vitalizing the economy, 48% chose Ma Ying-jeou and 17% chose Frank Hsieh. On non-corruption, 43% chose Ma Ying-jeou and 16% chose Frank Hsieh. On governance, 39% chose Ma Ying-jeou and 20% chose Frank Hsieh. On the UN referenda, 47% said that they will refuse to accept the ballot to vote for either, 23% said that will vote for both, 9% said that they will vote for the DPP-sponsored referendum to join the UN and 2% said that they will vote for the KMT-sponsored referendum to rejoin the UN.

Using these six variables as explanatory predictors, it is estimated that 56.4% will vote for Ma Ying-jeou, 29.9% will vote for Frank Hsieh and another 13.7% cannot be predicted clearly.

Using Elizabeth Noelle-Neumann's theory the Spiral of Silence, the unpredicable people were believed to be mostly Frank Hsieh supporters. The final estimate is then 56.4% for Ma Ying-jeou and 43.6% for Frank Hsieh.

As for the likely winner of the election regardless of one's personal preference, 54.1% favored Ma Ying-jeou and 10.2% favored Frank Hsieh.

(UDN) During and after televised debate, some television stations opened their phone lines to allow their viewers to 'vote.' The vote costs the caller NT$2 for 30 seconds. The viewers of a television station reflect the political leanings of that station, and they constitute a self-selected sample that is not representative of the general population. The counts are:
SETV: 52,816 votes for Frank Hsieh; 20,068 votes for Ma Ying-jeou
CTS-TV: 23,290 votes for Ma Ying-jeou; 3,729 votes for Frank Hsieh
ETV-TV: 24,091 votes for Ma Ying-jeou; 3,747 votes for Frank Hsieh.
Given these disparate ratios, the political leanings of the respective television stations should be evident.